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Home LNG Contracts & Pricing

U.S. LNG ramp up contributes to 15% drop in TTF prices

Editor by Editor
6 months ago
Reading Time: 1 min read
European-gas-prices
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Who let the bears out? TTF prices dropped by over 15% since the start of Dec to below $12.5/mmbtu – their lowest level since the beginning of the heating season.

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Following the strong bull run through November, European gas prices have been loosing steam in recent weeks, with TTF prices plunging by more than 15%.

There are several factors contributing to this downward revision:

(1) US LNG ramp-up: both Plaquemines LNG in Louisiana and Corpus Christi LNG stage 3 are ramping up operations, which is naturally improving supply side fundamentals and weighing on gas prices;

(2) Ukraine transit: recent comments by European piped gas importers are giving the impression that an agreement could be reached, although the future of transit remain uncertain. news and rumours will be a key price swing drivers in the coming months:

(3) Better weather: milder temperatures and improving wind speeds are weighing on gas demand and consequently on European hub prices;

(4) Asian blues: gas demand in key Asian markets have softened in recent weeks, partly due to high spot prices through Oct-Nov;

What is your view? How will European gas prices evolve through the winter? Is it time for the bulls to wake up? Do you see any bullish factors?

Source: Greg MOLNAR


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Tags: Asian gas demandCorpus Christi LNGEuropean gas pricesGreg MolnarPlaquemines LNGTTF prices
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